The Tilney Investment Outlook - August 2021

Bonds versus equities: who is right on the economic outlook?

Published: 05 Aug 2021 Updated: 13 Jun 2022

This monthly commentary gives a roundup of global markets and trends.

In this edition:

  • While equity investors are positive on the economic outlook, anticipating stronger corporate earnings and GDP expansions, bond yields continue to suggest gloom ahead.
  • Equity investors are taking their cue from improving corporate earnings, private consumption and capital expenditure.
  • Bond yields may be anchored by technical factors rather than a deterioration in growth. International investors and the Federal Reserve have been buying treasuries.
  • We lean towards the more optimistic view, while also keeping a close eye on inflation, Covid and slowing global growth.

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This article was previously published on Tilney prior to the launch of Evelyn Partners.